<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Jake Thompson:
Raiders, ya got any advice on the NFL? IE good situations, bad situations, things to look for, how much weather matters, etc...<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
my advice:
make sure you pick the team that wins....it helps
Raiders, ya got any advice on the NFL? IE good situations, bad situations, things to look for, how much weather matters, etc...<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
my advice:
make sure you pick the team that wins....it helps
Try to break down the game and see what each team will try to do. If the team throws a lot and throws mostly to the outside WRs, how are the other teams CBs? Do they throw a lot to the TEs and RBs, or slot receivers, how are the LBs and safeties in coverage. That is just one point, you should try to look at the game from every angle. And key in on special teams, kickoff coverage/kickoff returns. Big disparity in these can set up field position. Punt returns/punt coverage in the same way.
for the NFL, concentrate on determining who will win the game SU. The spread comes into play appx 16% of the time. That means use dog ML's, I usually throw at least 35% of my wager on the dog on the ML. A very useful stat for both the NFL and NCAA is rushing avg for/ rushing avg def. I generally like teams that rush for more and allow fewer rush yds than their opponent. Favorites seem to cover more often at the beginning of the NFL season, I usually start looking to fade the public around week 4. Play on NFL 2nd halves. There are numerous correlations on NFL 2nd halves over time, a handful which hit over 60%, take the time to chart these spreads, and your eye for value should spot profitable scenarios which are strong enough to even bet blindly on.
In the NCAA you will make money over time fading people who have "LOCKS" on their favorite school.
In the NCAA you will make money over time fading people who have "LOCKS" on their favorite school.
